Understanding the probabilities of what numbers are most likely to roll is the key to being successful at the craps table. After studying the laws of craps probabilities, we know that 7 is more likely to roll than any other number for the simple fact that there are more combinations of rolls on the dice that will equal 7. Knowing this we can formulate a strategy that will increase your odds of winning over time on the tables.
First of all, on the come out roll you can bet on either the pass line, or the no pass line. What most people don’t seem to realize is that you can bet on both. You might ask why somebody would bet on both the pass and no pass line. Such a strategy seems counterproductive since each bet would cancel each other out. And you would be right, but the idea here is not to make your money from the pass/no pass lines. Where you will be making your money with this craps strategy is on the odds bets.
If you place an equal bet on both the pass and no pass lines, you are basically giving yourself a safety net. The only number that you will lose to on the come out roll is a 12. Since 12 is the least likely number to roll besides the 2, the statistical odds are very low that this will happen, (though it does happen sometimes.) After the come out roll, once a point has been established, the laws of probability suggest that a 7 is most likely to roll before any other number. Therefore, the most logical bet to make at this time, regardless of the point number, is on the no pass odds line.
The only flaw in this strategy is that statistical probabilities are not absolute guarantees, but nothing in gambling is. What this does do is increase your odds of winning more times than you lose, which is exactly what every gambler should strive for.
Where things will often get dangerous when employing this strategy is if a 6 or an 8 is established as the point. Because both of these numbers also have good statistical odds of rolling, your chances of rolling a 7 first are diminished to slight better than a coin flip (50/50). In this situation, a bet on the pass odds is almost as logical as a bet on the no pass odds, and because you placed a bet on both the pass and no pass line, you have the option of making either odds bet.